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為什麼你看不到黑天鵝？(《新科學人》2022年度好書) (Jim Al-Khalili): : 2022 The Joy of Science Jim Al Khalili Chemistry: A Volatile HistoryThe Secret Life of ChaosBBCThe Life Scientific20072011OBE (UC Santa Barbara)
作者: 吉姆．艾爾—卡利里 | 譯者: 趙盛慈
《新科學人》2022年度好書
The Joy of Science 中文版
The Joy of Science 中文版
寫給混沌世界的現代人的思維指引｜八種建立清晰理性視野的核心原則
我們不需要成為愛因斯坦，
但少了邏輯與理性，便無法真正地理解世界。
「殺人是不對的。」
如果殺一個人能拯救上百萬名無辜的人，「殺人」還是錯的嗎？
「占星師說週二星星將排成一列，你會收到好消息。」
結果老闆真的幫你升職。事件驗證了，所以占星就是科學嗎？
「看不到黑天鵝，所以世界上只有白天鵝。」
眼前看不見的，不代表世界上絕對沒有。
國際知名量子物理學家、紐約時報暢銷書作者艾爾– 卡利里，這次不談物理或人類未來，而是透過這本精練、適用於各種情境的思維指南，談談如何生活得更科學一點─用「科學實在論」原則分辨真假新聞，掌握「預防原則」避免落入道聽塗說的窘境；謹記「奧坎剃刀原理」，
避免過度簡化議題；深入資訊與決策之前抱著懷疑與不確定的態度，反而能減少「認知失調」⋯⋯
儘管我們有著各種缺陷和弱點、偏見和困惑，但世界的真相依然存在。當我們問自己：我想認識世界真正的面貌嗎？開始讓科學原則與思維進入生活、尋找答案、觀察世界，就踏上了前往真相、做出更好抉擇的道路！
「科學最美的一點在於它豐富了我們。科學教我們如何突破感知侷限、超越偏見和偏誤，擺脫恐懼和不安全感，放下無知與弱點去觀察這個世界。科學幫助我們在看待事物時，由更透澈的理解出發，置身於擁有美與真相、光彩奪目的世界。」艾爾—卡利里
作者
吉姆．艾爾—卡利里（Jim Al-Khalili）
英國知名物理學家，在英國薩里大學任教並進行量子力學的研究。他致力科學公眾教育推廣，主持過許多電視與廣播節目，其中《化學：一段揮發性的歷史》（Chemistry: A Volatile History）以及《渾沌的祕密生活》（The Secret Life of Chaos）都曾獲英國影藝學院獎提名，最受歡迎的是BBC的科學節目《科學化的生活》（The Life Scientific）。2007年，他獲頒皇家學會的麥可．法拉第獎，2011年榮獲英國物理學會的克耳文獎，並曾獲大英帝國官佐勳章（OBE）。著有多本暢銷科普書籍，如《悖論》、《解開生命之謎》、《人類大未來》， 全球譯為二十種語言。
審定者
林秀豪
國立清華大學特聘教授
美國加州大學 (UC Santa Barbara) 物理博士，曾獲科技部傑出研究獎、教育部師鐸獎、星雲教育獎、全球開放教育傑出課程獎、十大傑出青年。
譯者
趙盛慈
專職自由譯者，喜歡知識、深思與推敲文字。
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4.4 ★★★★★
Based on 29 reviews
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Product Reviews
★★★★★ 5
This is a great ball for high energy dogs.
Color: Blue
I have a Belgian Malinois, so you can imagine the Maligator jaws. Just opened this today and let her play with it indoors. She LOVES IT. It wore her out and it’s a toy she can really stay focused on without needing me to throw or roll for her. It moves on its own! I supervised her play. I was hoping it was too big to get under the couch, but no. It goes right under it. I had to block off the gap so I didn’t have to keep getting it out from under for her. The outter “shell” is very durable! When she had resting moments, she chewed it pretty good - I could hear the material squeaking against her teeth. I was worried she was tearing it up, but nope! Not a mark on it. It’s easy to set up and operate. It needed charging before play. After hours of play, she was able to somehow unscrew the outter shell. This concerned me bc the smaller, inner ball mechanism came out but I saw it right away and was able to put it back together. So, make sure it’s screwed together tightly (which I thought I had done without breaking it) and check it from time to time to make sure it hasn’t loosened. This is a great ball for her incredible high energy drive. It gives her the work and fun play she needs to get tired, which I love. This toy is on the expensive end, but so far it’s worth it. Now we’ll see how long it lasts!
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Reviewed in the United States on October 7, 2025
★★★★★ 5
Love love it
Color: Blue
Best dog toy ever. I have a 1 year old boxer who is full of energy (understatement). This ball has provided more entertainment for us both than any dog toy I’ve ever purchased. Charge holds well and has a very resilient shell. I love it. Worth the price.
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Reviewed in the United States on May 23, 2026
★★★★★ 4
Great ball for limited entertainment. Replaceable outer shell is an amazing option!
Color: Blue, Color: Blue
Bought this for our 45lb, ball-obsessed Dutch shepherd/pit bull dog mix. I had one of these years ago with the hard shell and couldn’t be happier with the new foam shell.
The new foam shell is much quieter and while our dog might put holes in it with his teeth, he doesn’t seem to ever pull pieces off.
For engagement level, he found it VERY interesting at first and was scared to grab it, but once he got over that he started holding it in his mouth even when it shakes and just tries to keep it.
Isn’t the best for fetch or anything as he has trouble letting it go when it is actively moving, but it makes him happy while he has it. We just make sure to monitor him while it is out.
The ability to change the outer shell and just buy a replacement for the shell instead of a whole new toy is a lovely feature that makes me very happy to continue buying from this company.
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Reviewed in the United States on April 19, 2026
★★★★★ 5
Great Interactive Option
Color: Blue
To start, I have been very happy with this purchase. A couple of key points for me are durability and being able to keep my dog's attention. I have had it for almost a year, just a month shy, and she hasn't managed to get through the foam outer shell even though she tries real hard to do so. Let's just say, she's hard to find toys for because of her habit of finding the point of failure where she can pick and gnaw at until the toy is no longer safe for her to have. With this toy, she not only found her match, but it also has her watching, waiting, and even stalking. Only one small issue has recently occurred: the motor has started having an issue where the charge doesn't hold, and it doesn't remain on afterwards. I have reached out to Cheerble directly to see about replacing it since I am still within their 12-month timeframe, and they responded right away.
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Reviewed in the United States on April 22, 2026
★★★★★ 5
Quality product for the right dog...
Color: Orange
Honestly it's a really cool product well constructed and moves around on its own with several different modes. The design id brilliant with a tough rubber ball that unscrew to expose the element that makes it move in the middle. The dog won't be able to unscrew it but you can if you ever need to replace the ball for any reason but it would take some work for a dog to destroy the outer ball. Almost like "Kong" type material. The ball is about the size of a softball and the element inside is about the size of a golf ball. I thought my dog would love this but she was afraid of it, which is strange because she's afraid of nothing. Anyways I gave it to my neighbor upstairs and she has a yorkshire terrier who plays with it all the time so it all worked out great. Quality product . Good job!
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Reviewed in the United States on March 17, 2026
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