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世界上有多少隻貓？：超速估算出一切事物，讓你看清大局的數字反應力: : 4 GoogleAppleSpaceX 10 10 Rob Eastaway Sunday TimesNew Scientist2020173 1987
作者: 羅勃．伊斯威 | 譯者: 郭哲佑
★ 英國暢銷數學思考作家，寫給社會人的非常規數字生存指南
★ 讓你化繁為簡、看清大局的4堂邏輯課
▍用超速估算技巧，大幅提升你的生產力、決策力與說服力
許多關鍵時刻的重要問題，並不是動動手指就能搞定。為什麼從Google、Apple、微軟到SpaceX面試時，都要問那些怪問題？因為，真正重要的不是答案，而是大腦思路──看面試者如何取捨眼前資訊，並找到可行方法。
放下計算機，跟著最會說故事的數學家，從最基本的邏輯上手，小至餐廳帳單、大至浩瀚宇宙，都比人早一步得到答案。不管是數據分析還是市場觀察，一本書抓住問題根本，逐步建立看清大局的全方位思考力。
別人還在思考答案，而你，已經想出解決方案。
「超速估算」的思考模式，就是解決一切問題的捷徑：
◆ 上網買東西，運費匯率加折扣，我到底有沒有虧？
◆ 從你家水電費，到明年的公司業績，如何掌握「遙遠」的數字？
◆ 利率、單位換算的超速估算法則……看出藏在細節裡的魔鬼！
◆ 如何不靠問卷調查，有效統計人群的意見和想法？
大多數人都沒發覺的真相──
◇ 數字不代表事實，就算用數的也會錯
◇ 越精確，越好？「可靠」的資訊卻可能誤導你
◇ 你看見的數據，很多都是別人估出來的
◇ 數字該如何取捨？你需要知道的，其實沒那麼多！
不管在日常還是職場，
認真的人花10分鐘算出正確答案，
聰明的人花10秒鐘抓出合理範圍。
翻開本書，拋去計算機和繁瑣的數字，
逐步學習「超速估算」的高效思維，
不管在何種場合，都能清晰地掌握問題、分析大局。
本書特色
★ 搭配內容，隨時自我測驗（書末附有參考解答）
★ 結合生活實例，輕鬆掌握實用知識
★ 配備基礎工具，一手掌握估算利器
★ 收錄奇思妙問，解決問題、思維升級
超載的資訊、塞滿眼前的數字，反而使人落入判斷誤區？而擁有「超速估算」的技巧，反而能用最高效率找到可行的方案。本書從生活實例出發，透過簡單但必要的工具與不可思議的神奇問題，展現給讀者超乎想像的思考邏輯。
作者
羅勃．伊斯威Rob Eastaway
屢獲殊榮的英國數學作家，曾任英國數學協會主席。
熱愛趣味數學，尤其是解謎遊戲，曾為《週日泰晤士報》（Sunday Times）和《新科學人》（New Scientist）出題。致力於傳播數學之美，定期上廣播節目談數學，獲邀為全英國各年齡層的聽眾演講，至今已累積超過20萬名聽眾。因在推廣數學上的卓越表現與貢獻，2017年榮獲齊曼獎章。善於將數學思考帶入一般人的日常生活，著有多本暢銷書，包括《為什麼公車一次來3班？》、《幾隻襪子湊一雙？》、《一條線有多長？》等（含合著）。
譯者
郭哲佑
1987年生，台灣大學中國文學研究所碩士畢業。研究文學，但喜歡投資與數字。譯有《龐氏風暴》、《為了自由》。
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4.7 ★★★★★
Based on 16 reviews
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Product Reviews
★★★★★ 3
good to a point
Format: Paperback
basically what could help democrats win.all well and good,but that side has much of the same donors(drug companies,defense contractors,oil industry,etc.)as the republicans.THAT'S why they don't push back fundamentally.
one of my big problems with the author is his unapologetic.uneducated islamaphobia.he sounds like george bush when he mentions muslims actually.he fell for the propaganda.instead of drinking the koolaid of the cult,he should sip from the tea of informed tact.
i know right-wingers wear their stances/prejudices on their sleeves,but the problem with the liberal side is the smugness they can exude towards everyone else,when,let's face,they're no better.they went to college to deepen THEIR prejudices with a more expanded vocabulary.
otherwise,it's interesting from a psychological standpoint on how and what moves the masses.again,it's worth it to a point,just keep in mind that he's a bit of a meathead
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Reviewed in the United States on November 22, 2020
★★★★★ 4
The one-stars miss the point:
Format: Hardcover
Thomas J. Farrell and I may be two of a small handful who actually have read Aristotle's Rhetoric. There are good reasons for this. Aristotle's rhetoric is useful to know historically, and gives one the aroma of scholarship, yet only in the sense of one's being well-read but not particularly useful.
Westen's point is that Democrats are starving for useful rhetorical advice. Grounding ourselves in material some 2,300 years old is just not sufficient. cglambdin also missed the whole point, but more bluntly and therefore clearly.
I would paraphrase Westen's major point as being: as long as you go around thinking "reason, good/everything else, not so good," you lose. Not only do you lose, you DESERVE TO LOSE.
Why?
In a democracy, "nobody likes a smartass." The corollary to this is: "if you don't know the difference between being smart and being a smartass, you're probably the latter." Now to an ancient aristocrat like Aristotle, the distinction wouldn't have mattered. In the United States of America, it should matter to everyone aspiring to leadership.
We common folk expect our leaders to resonate with our values and life conditions. We don't care whether your blood runs a bit blue (as with the Kennedys) as long as you can be with us in spirit when you need to be. It's only polite.
In 1992 the smartass class had great fun with Bill Clinton's "I feel your pain" comment, but missed the point that Clinton resonated while President Bush the First's glance at his watch during the same town meeting debate ended the campaign then and there.
Drew Westen evokes what I considered state of the art in the communication field when I was in graduate school twenty-five years ago. Because he's a psychologist, and also not a smartass, I didn't expect him to bring up the theoretical language of people ranging from George Herbert Mead to Kenneth Burke. Rather, he demonstrates their insights! We get it! His work also fits well in the tradition of Walter Fisher's groundbreaking
.
Two things about Westen's book take off a star. Yes, he does meander. Also, his repetitive bashing of Bob Shrum comes off, at last, as an extended hard-sell advertisement for his own political consulting business. Perfection is elusive. Nevertheless, The Political Brain is doggone useful!
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Reviewed in the United States on July 27, 2007
★★★★★ 5
Disturbing but necessary read
Format: Paperback
Feels strange saying that I love a book that is as disturbing as this one is but I love that it's well-written and documented and it exposes some horrendous events in the history of the Americas as well as the world. Americans may well point fingers at the Nazis (and deservedly so) but it's a case of people in glass houses throwing stones. There is no question as to the repulsiveness and inhumanity of the genocide and mass murders perpetrated in Nazi Germany, Stalin's Soviet Union, Mao's China, the Khmer Rouge's Cambodia, and in a host of African nations, to name a few; but in our own not too distant past similar atrocities were perpetrated on the native populations of the Americas by the Spanish, Portuguese, British, and colonists/Americans. While the inhumanity elsewhere in the world is touched upon to show where the mindset of this barbarity likely originated, the focus is on the impact in the Americas -- North, South, and Central. The book contains graphic, disturbing descriptions of the cruelty done to the natives by men who have long been esteemed for their alleged contributions in history. Most notably Christopher Columbus. In my time in grade school, he and the many other conquistadors and explorers were portrayed and men of courage and integrity. This book paints a different picture of them as greedy, bloodthirsty, remorseless killers of peoples who they considered inhuman or subhuman. More troubling is Christianity's participation in these actions. Not to blame Christianity for initiating it but to indict it for condoning and even commending the events. Peaceful races of people minding their own business, living in communities well planned and constructed and advanced for their time, and who welcomed the interlopers were obliterated them. Much of the death and destruction was caused by the introduction of European diseases such as smallpox that killed tens of millions but a large part was also caused by actions of odious proportions. Entire civilizations such as the Aztec and the Inca and the Arawak whose artifacts have since been admired and sought after were wiped off the face of the earth. Tens of millions of people slaughtered. Men, women, children butchered. In numbers likely to exceed those of the aforementioned genocides combined. The purpose being to acquire their lands and their riches. Considered to be no more than animals needed to be exterminated. This is our history.
This book should be required reading for everyone. The graphic descriptions of the savagery should cause outrage not only for the acts themselves but for a cultures that has covered up their crimes for centuries. And the holocaust has not ended yet.
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Reviewed in the United States on October 23, 2018
★★★★★ 5
THE SINGLE FINEST AND MOST ESSENTIAL BOOK OF THE AGE
Format: Paperback
A masterpiece of scholarship and analysis.
This book is nothing less than the single most important work that you will ever read.
Our entire culture is built on Holocaust Denial while those most responsible for this abnesia drape themselves in the flag of holocaust memorialism but have little honesty in their true agenda. An agenda that allows in North America alone for there to be at least 50 Holocaust memorials, museums and monuments...
only problem is they are ALL about the Holocaust that happened in Europe and NOT about the colossal extermination that took place where they live. It is not only denial on the part of the nations of the Americas and Europe but those responsible for this Holocaust Denial in relation to Indian America insist on an image of being the world's caretakers of holocaust memory. What a bloody audacity.
Why do we let the Spanish off the hook so lightly? Why is there no demand for Spain to make its Mea Culpa? Why is there no AMERICAS HOLOCAUST memorial in Madrid, Washington, London and Ottawa ?
This brilliant book re-addresses the imbalance.
POST SCRIPT....
There is a reviewer further down who uses the monica of
"history buff" who rejects the value and integrity of this work. In fact he utterly insults Mr Stannard and his thesis.
So I thought I would check out his other reviews...oh boy!
One of the remarks he makes in a book claiming that Saddam was behind 9/11 goes "But it is very difficult to argue with the facts that were available to the agencies which pointed to a direct link between Saddam and Al Qaeda." This example of his world view is the mild end of it. So people consider the character of the self-described "history buff" who rejects Stannard's brilliant thesis on the Holocaust in the Americas.
The reviewer "history buff" has a world view that comes straight out of the 1950's HUAC committee (he associates all Left wing thought with the Soviet Union not knowing that the Bolshevik regime prohibited the platform of the revolution and that its first victims were in fact the most sincere and dedicated Left revolutionaries. Clearly he has never read the finest autobiography in the history of English language autobiography; Emma Goldman's LIVING MY LIFE volume 1 and volume 2. The latter volume includes a first hand account of the destruction NOT construction of socialism by Lenin and his cohorts ).
.
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Reviewed in the United States on June 5, 2006
★★★★★ 5
EXTINCTION
Format: Paperback
Normally when the word extinct is used it is in reference to animals but after reading this book this term can legitimately be used to describe what happened to the original citizens of America the American Indians. Christopher Columbus and his minions (I refuse to call them soldiers) savagely murdered and killed countless numbers of these Indians, a vivid example of this is given on page 83 " One favorite sport of the conquistadors was "dogging." Traveling as they did with packs of armored wolfhounds and mastiffs that were on a diet of human flesh and were trained to disembowel Indians, the Spanish used the dogs to terrorize slaves and to entertain the troops. An entire book Dogs of the Conquest, has been published recently, detailing the exploits of these animals as they accompanied their masters throughout the course of the Spanish depredations. "A properly fleshed dog," these authors say, "could pursue a 'savage' as zealously and effectively as a deer or a boar.... To many of the conquerors, the Indian was merely another savage animal, and the dogs were trained to pursue and rip apart their human quarry with the same zest as they felt when hunting wild beasts." And also on pages 83-84 "Just as the Spanish soldiers seem to have particularly enjoyed testing the sharpness of their yard-long rapier blades on the bodies of Indian children, so their dogs seemed to find the soft bodies of infants especially tasty, and thus the accounts of the invading conquistadors and the padres who traveled with them are filled with detailed descriptions of young Indian children routinely taken from their parents and fed to the hungry animals. Men who could take pleasure in this sort of thing had little trouble with less sensitive matters, such as the sacking and burning of entire cities and towns, and the destruction of books and tablets containing millennia of accumulated knowledge, wisdom, and religious belief."
After page 146 there's an illustrated unnumbered section titled Genocide the first nine pages of this section contain pictures of how the Spanish tortured and killed Indian women and children as stated on the second page of this section "[The Spaniards] took babies from their mothers' breasts, grabbing them by the feet and smashing their heads against rocks...They built a long gibbet, low enough for the toes to touch the ground and prevent strangling, and hanged thirteen [natives] at a time in honor of Christ Our Saviour and the twelve Apostles. Then, straw was wrapped around their torn bodies and they were burned alive."
Not to be outdone the good old American cavalry also engaged in its' fair share of savage murder and killing as can be seen from the bottom of page126 to the top of page 127 "They turned their guns, Hotchkiss guns, etc., upon the women who were in the lodges standing under a flag of truce, and of course as soon as they were fired upon they fled....There was a woman with an infant in her arms who was killed as she almost touched the flag of truce, and the women and children of course were strewn all along the circular village until they were dispatched. Right near the flag of truce a mother was shot down with her infant; the child not knowing that its mother was dead was still nursing, and that was especially a very sad sight. The women as they were fleeing with their babes were killed together, shot right through, and the women who were very heavy with child were also killed." I personally do not celebrate Columbus Day and Thanksgiving Day this book is ample proof and evidence as to why these two days should be set aside as a time for mourning not celebration, if you want your children to have a true understanding of American history then I strongly urge you to buy this book and have it as part of your home library.
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Reviewed in the United States on July 5, 2015